Transparent Growth Measurement (NPS)

Speed-Dating Decision Tree

Turn your assumptions into clarity by answering one ruthless question: “And then what?”

The Speed-Dating Decision Tree is designed for founders, strategists, and product leaders who need to test the validity of their decisions quickly. It simulates a rapid-fire interrogation, pushing you beyond surface-level logic until you either find solid reasoning or expose hidden flaws.

Why Use This App?
  • Stress-Test Your Decisions: Challenge every assumption before committing time or capital.
  • Reveal Blind Spots: Repeated “And then what?” prompts uncover the chain reactions you’re missing.
  • Clarify Causality: Map your decision’s downstream consequences in real time.
  • Avoid Overconfidence: See whether your logic holds up or collapses under pressure.
  • Build Strategic Depth: Convert impulsive choices into well-reasoned action plans.
Speed-Dating Decision Tree

Start Interrogation

How It Works – Step by Step

  1. State Your Decision: Enter a planned move such as “Launch a freemium product” or “Expand into a new market.”
  2. Face the Interrogator: The AI repeatedly asks, “And then what?” to push your reasoning deeper.
  3. Trace Consequences: Each response creates a branching path of second- and third-order effects.
  4. Reach Bedrock: You stop when your logic reaches a stable foundation—or exposes a potential disaster.
  5. Reflect and Refine: Review the chain to identify where your assumptions break down or need more validation.

Understanding Your Results

The output reveals:

  • Decision Chain Map: A sequence of dependent outcomes triggered by your initial choice.
  • Logic Breakpoints: Where your reasoning becomes speculative or circular.
  • Hidden Risks: Unseen dependencies, cost traps, or operational choke points.
  • Feasibility Signal: Whether your decision stands firm or needs re-evaluation.

When to Use This App?

  • Before any high-stakes strategic or financial decision.
  • During product planning or feature prioritisation.
  • For leadership off-sites and decision-making workshops.
  • To train teams in critical thinking and scenario mapping.
  • When facing investor or board-level scrutiny on strategy.

How to Use Your Analysis?

  1. Map the Chain: Review each “And then what?” response as a step in your decision’s causal pathway. Identify where momentum builds or collapses.
  2. Spot the Weak Links: Look for vague assumptions, circular logic, or skipped dependencies. These are your highest-risk points.
  3. Validate Critical Steps: For each weak link, outline what data, validation, or test would make it credible. Convert uncertainty into measurable experiments.
  4. Assess Risk vs. Return: Determine whether the downstream risks outweigh the expected benefits. If they do, pause or redesign the decision.
  5. Document Learnings: Save the interrogation trail as a decision log. It becomes a record of reasoning, useful for post-analysis and investor reviews.
  6. Run Follow-Up Tools: Use the Regret Pre-Mortem to simulate failure, or the Consequence Chain to explore second-order effects of your next move.

Decision Clarity Benchmarks 2025

Benchmarks help you evaluate the maturity of your decision-making logic compared to that of typical growth-stage businesses.

Clarity Metric Strong Organisations Average Organisations Weak Organisations Implication
Depth of Reasoning (Rounds Until Bedrock) 6–8 3–5 1–2 More rounds = more profound strategic clarity
Dependency Awareness High: Clear mapping of triggers and outcomes Moderate: Partial mapping Low: Vague or missing connections Reveals operational foresight
Assumption Validity Rate >80% tested assumptions 50–70% validated <40% speculative Shows evidence-based decision culture
Risk Capture Systematically documented Ad-hoc Rarely acknowledged Predicts resilience under stress
Time to Coherence <10 minutes 15–25 minutes >30 minutes Indicates decision discipline and focus

Note: These benchmarks represent patterns observed in strategic consulting environments. Actual results vary by company stage and leadership maturity.

Practical Example

Scenario: A SaaS startup plans to launch a freemium tier.

Process: After five rounds of “And then what?”, the reasoning uncovers that while sign-ups increase, support costs spike, paid conversions lag, and long-term profitability declines.

Insight: The exercise exposes that without a clear upgrade path and support for automation, the “growth hack” could become a financial drain. The founder revises the strategy to limit free accounts and introduce in-app upsells.

Growth Tips & Business Impact

  • Interrogate Everything: Apply “And then what?” to every new initiative before committing budget.
  • Stop at Bedrock, Not Ego: A sound decision ends in clarity, not justification.
  • Use in Teams: Run group interrogations to surface diverse perspectives fast.
  • Integrate with the Regret Pre-Mortem: Follow up with a 12-month regret analysis to validate long-term impact.
  • Make It Habitual: Add this exercise to quarterly reviews to maintain strategic sharpness.

Business Impact:
Leaders who use the Speed-Dating Decision Tree make faster, clearer, and more resilient decisions, reducing rework, misalignment, and emotional bias across teams.

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FAQs

1. What is the core purpose of this app?

To test the durability and logic of your decisions using a rapid-fire questioning method.

2. Who should use it?

Founders, CMOs, and strategy teams are facing high-stakes decisions.

3. How many “And then what?” rounds should I expect?

Typically, 4–8 rounds before reaching a logical endpoint or contradiction.

4. Can this replace full scenario planning?

No, it complements it by quickly surfacing weak logic before formal modelling.

5. What insights will I gain?

You’ll see the whole causal chain of your decision and identify overlooked consequences.

6. Is it suitable for group exercises?

Yes, it’s ideal for leadership workshops and decision-making training.

7. How often should I use it?

Use it whenever a major decision involves uncertainty, investment, or irreversible steps.

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