Transparent Growth Measurement (NPS)

The Regret Pre-Mortem

Imagine failure before it happens, and prevent it before it’s too late

The Regret Pre-Mortem is an AI-powered reflection tool that helps founders, CMOs, and strategy leaders identify and prevent mistakes before they occur. By projecting yourself 12 months into the future, it forces you to write the post-mortem of a decision that went wrong,  helping you spot overconfidence, blind spots, and flawed assumptions before committing resources.

Why Use This App?
  • Pre-empt Failure: Anticipate where a major decision could collapse before taking action. 
  • Challenge Hubris: Identify and address overconfidence and emotional biases in your strategic thinking. 
  • Strengthen Validation: Ensure your big bets are based on tested assumptions, not wishful thinking. 
  • Protect Team Morale: Foresee cultural or operational fallout from poorly framed pivots. 
  • Improve Decision Hygiene: Turn potential regret into proactive foresight.
The Regret Pre-Mortem

Run Your Pre-Mortem

How It Works – Step by Step

  1. Enter Your Decision: Describe the big strategic move, pivot, or investment you’re considering.
  2. Time-Travel Simulation: The AI projects you 12 months forward — where the decision failed.
  3. Write the Post-Mortem: The tool prompts you to articulate how and why it failed.
  4. Analyse the Insights: Review failure modes, missed signals, and underestimated stakeholders.
  5. Refine the Decision: Adjust your plan, validate assumptions, or avoid the trap entirely.

Understanding Your Results

Your AI-generated Post-Mortem Report includes:

  • Actual Failure Mode: The true reason behind the collapse, not the surface-level excuse.
  • Second-Order Effects: Ripple consequences, such as morale loss or market erosion.
  • Ignored Signals: Red flags you dismissed during planning.
  • Underestimated Stakeholders: Groups affected more than anticipated.
  • Misguided Optimisation: What you focused on that didn’t matter.
  • Alternative Actions: What you could’ve done differently.

How to Use Your Analysis

  • Before Major Strategic Shifts: Run a pre-mortem to expose untested assumptions.
  • During planning phases, use the results to stress-test risk appetite and market readiness.
  • For Team Alignment: Share outcomes to surface differing views early and address them effectively.
  • When Seeking Investor Buy-In: Present both best- and worst-case models to build credibility.
  • After Execution: Re-run the pre-mortem quarterly to track actual outcomes against expected ones.

When to Use This App?

  • Before product pivots, fundraising rounds, or mergers.
  • Before launching new business units or pricing strategies.
  • When scaling to unfamiliar markets or industries.
  • During leadership off-sites for structured reflection.
  • As part of your quarterly decision review cadence

Decision Reflection Benchmarks 2025

Use these benchmarks to evaluate how your decision-making risk compares to industry averages.

Decision Type Typical Overconfidence Bias Ignored Early Signal Common Second-Order Effect Preventive Practice
Market Pivot “We can easily re-target enterprise” Lack of inbound demand Core business erosion Test niche first; protect existing revenue streams
Product Expansion “We just need feature parity” Overlooked support load Team burnout Validate user demand before building
Funding Round “Capital will solve growth” Declining unit economics Overspending, dilution Fix CAC before fundraising
Pricing Strategy “Higher price = higher value” Drop in conversions Brand confusion A/B test elasticity
Rapid Hiring “We’ll scale culture later” Onboarding lag Quality drop, attrition Define hiring scorecards early
Acquisition “Synergy will be instant” Integration friction Process chaos Align tech & culture before signing

Note: These benchmarks highlight how ambition often blinds strategy. Use them to recalibrate optimism with operational reality.

Example Output

Decision: “Pivot our B2C SaaS product to target enterprise customers.”

Failure Mode:
A mismatch between product-market fit, organisational DNA, and sales motion. We forced a lightweight consumer product into a complex enterprise world, resulting in poor adoption and wasted resources.

Second-Order Effects:
Neglected B2C customers churned, top talent left, morale plummeted, and the company ultimately lost both markets.

Underestimated Stakeholders:
Ignored existing loyal customers and internal product experts; overestimated the ease of convincing enterprise committees.

Ignored Signals:
Dismissed team warnings, long enterprise sales cycles, and lack of inbound interest were clear signs that the pivot was premature.

Misguided Optimisation:
Chased prestige metrics like high ARR and “enterprise credibility” instead of deepening product value for paying customers.

Growth Tips & Strategic Impact

  • Make Failure Your Teacher: Every imagined failure is a saved resource in real life.
  • Rehearse Regret to Build Clarity: Leaders who visualise failure make better long-term decisions.
  • Turn Emotion into Insight: Writing the post-mortem forces objective analysis of ego-driven calls.
  • Integrate with Other Tools: Use alongside the Opposite-Day Audit to explore both regret and inversion perspectives.
  • Build a Decision Archive: Keep pre-mortems as part of your strategic documentation to measure and improve decision quality over time.

Strategic Impact:
Leaders who use the Regret Pre-Mortem avoid catastrophic pivots, strengthen validation loops, and build emotionally intelligent decision-making cultures.Consequence Chain reduce strategic blind spots, shorten feedback loops, and make more resilient long-term decisions.

Watch How The Regret Pre-Mortem Works

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FAQs

1. What is the Regret Pre-Mortem?

It’s an AI-powered simulation that lets you visualize a future failure and analyze its root causes before taking action.

2. How is it different from a risk assessment?

Traditional risk reviews predict probabilities; this tool imagines the emotional and strategic consequences of failure.

3. Who should use it?

 Founders, executives, and strategists making high-impact business decisions.

4. How long does it take?

In approximately 2–3 minutes, simply enter your decision, and the AI will generate the full reflection.

5. What insights does it provide?

Detailed post-mortem covering failure modes, second-order effects, ignored signals, and corrective actions.

6. Can it be used for team decisions?

Yes, run group pre-mortems to uncover diverse blind spots before committing to a strategy.

7. Does it provide preventive recommendations?

Yes, it suggests what could have been done differently to turn failure into foresight.

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